AAPL & NVDA — weekly paper trade thesis

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demo scenarioPre-seeded mission with full agent run history. Use Replay to watch the crew progress step-by-step.

Objective

Analyze AAPL and NVDA for a paper trade this week given the macro backdrop.

Agents done

6/6

Progress

100%

Total tokens

3920

Total latency

3.74s

Created

Queued

Running

Waiting approval· 1 pending

Receipt

A mission is one run of a crew. Agents execute in order; prompts, raw outputs, parsed JSON, tools, memory, approvals, and receipts are persisted.

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Each agent step

Saved with prompt, raw model output, latency, and token counts.

Raw model output

Stored verbatim alongside the parsed JSON, so you can replay or audit.

Parsed JSON

Validated against the agent's Zod schema; failures self-correct or fail loudly.

Tool calls

Every browser_qa_audit, web_snapshot, etc. is recorded with input + output.

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Crew

Market Scoutcompleted

Scans the watchlist and produces a market brief.

220↑380↓612ms

News Agentcompleted

Summarizes relevant news and event flow.

320↑260↓540ms

Strategy Agentcompleted

Builds a single, defensible trade thesis.

480↑240↓720ms

Risk Agentcompleted

Calculates downside, invalidation, and sizing notes.

380↑200↓480ms

Backtest Agentcompleted

Runs a simple historical simulation from seeded data.

410↑290↓980ms

Paper Execution Agentcompleted

Records the simulated trade decision only.

520↑220↓410ms

Run log

Market Scoutmarket-scout

612ms600 tok▾

Prompt

[system]
You are Market Scout, a disciplined market intelligence agent. Return ONLY a single JSON object matching the schema. Never recommend real-money execution. This is paper trading only.

[user]
Mission objective: Analyze AAPL and NVDA for a paper trade this week given the macro backdrop.

Identify 2-4 symbols implied by the objective (or general macro tickers if none). For each symbol, give sentiment (must be exactly one of "bullish", "bearish", or "neutral" — lowercase only, no other values), 2-3 catalysts, and a notable technical level. Then produce a 2-4 sentence market brief.

Respond as JSON: { "marketBrief": "...", "symbols": [{ "symbol": "AAPL", "sentiment": "bullish", "catalysts": ["..."], "notableLevel": "..." }] }

Parsed output

{
  "marketBrief": "Risk-on tape with mega-cap tech leading. VIX compressed at 13.4. AAPL holding above its 20-day on building volume; NVDA consolidating in a tight range below the 50-day.",
  "symbols": [
    {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "catalysts": [
        "Earnings in 18 days",
        "Services growth re-rating"
      ],
      "notableLevel": "Resistance 218.40 / Support 209.10 (20-DMA)"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "catalysts": [
        "GTC follow-through narrative",
        "Mixed sell-side estimate revisions"
      ],
      "notableLevel": "Coiled between 50- and 100-DMA"
    }
  ]
}

News Agentnews

540ms580 tok▾

Prompt

[system]
You are News Agent. Summarize headlines that materially affect the symbols in scope. Return ONLY JSON.

[user]
Objective: Analyze AAPL and NVDA for a paper trade this week given the macro backdrop.
Market context: {
  "marketBrief": "Risk-on tape with mega-cap tech leading. VIX compressed at 13.4. AAPL holding above its 20-day on building volume; NVDA consolidating in a tight range below the 50-day.",
  "symbols": [
    {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "catalysts": [
        "Earnings in 18 days",
        "Services growth re-rating"
      ],
      "notableLevel": "Resistance 218.40 / Support 209.10 (20-DMA)"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "catalysts": [
        "GTC follow-through narrative",
        "Mixed sell-side estimate revisions"
      ],
      "notableLevel": "Coiled between 50- and 100-DMA"
    }
  ]
}

Return JSON: { "highlights": [{ "symbol": "...", "headline": "...", "impact": "..." }] }

Parsed output

{
  "highlights": [
    {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "headline": "Sell-side raises FY estimates after services strength signals from supplier checks",
      "impact": "Mildly bullish — supports continuation if tape holds."
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "headline": "Hyperscaler capex outlook reaffirmed at conference",
      "impact": "Neutral-to-bullish — already in price."
    }
  ]
}

Strategy Agentstrategy

720ms720 tok▾

Prompt

[system]
You are Strategy Agent. Produce a clear, falsifiable thesis. JSON only.

[user]
Objective: Analyze AAPL and NVDA for a paper trade this week given the macro backdrop.
Context: {
  "market-scout": {
    "marketBrief": "Risk-on tape with mega-cap tech leading. VIX compressed at 13.4. AAPL holding above its 20-day on building volume; NVDA consolidating in a tight range below the 50-day.",
    "symbols": [
      {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "sentiment": "bullish",
        "catalysts": [
          "Earnings in 18 days",
          "Services growth re-rating"
        ],
        "notableLevel": "Resistance 218.40 / Support 209.10 (20-DMA)"
      },
      {
        "symbol": "NVDA",
        "sentiment": "neutral",
        "catalysts": [
          "GTC follow-through narrative",
          "Mixed sell-side estimate revisions"
        ],
        "notableLevel": "Coiled between 50- and 100-DMA"
      }
    ]
  },
  "news": {
    "highlights": [
      {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "headline": "Sell-side raises FY estimates after services strength signals from supplier checks",
        "impact": "Mildly bullish — supports continuation if tape holds."
      },
      {
        "symbol": "NVDA",
        "headline": "Hyperscaler capex outlook reaffirmed at conference",
        "impact": "Neutral-to-bullish — already in price."
      }
    ]
  },
  "strategy": {
    "thesis": "Long AAPL on a pullback to the 20-day MA (~209) into the earnings drift window. Stop under the prior swing low at 206.50. Invalidation: a daily close below the 50-day on rising volume."
  },
  "risk": {
    "risks": [
      "Macro reversal on a hot CPI print compresses multiples.",
      "Single-stock event risk — guidance miss within 2 weeks.",
      "Liquidity gap on overnight headlines invalidates the stop.",
      "Correlation spike pulls position with the broader tape."
    ],
    "riskScore": 0.42
  },
  "backtest": {
    "backtestSummary": {
      "period": "2024-2026",
      "winRate": 0.55,
      "avgReturn": 0.031,
      "maxDrawdown": -0.078,
      "notes": "Computed from price_series_lookup (60 bars, synthetic-demo source). Simulation only."
    }
  },
  "paper-execution": {
    "simulatedTrade": {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "side": "BUY",
      "entryPrice": 209.4,
      "stopLoss": 202.07,
      "targetPrice": 221.96,
      "sizingHint": "Risk 0.5R of book; max 2% portfolio exposure."
    },
    "confidence": 0.62
  }
}

Return JSON: { "thesis": "..." } — 2-4 sentences, name the symbol, direction, and invalidation.

Parsed output

{
  "thesis": "Long AAPL on a pullback to the 20-day MA (~209) into the earnings drift window. Stop under the prior swing low at 206.50. Invalidation: a daily close below the 50-day on rising volume."
}

Risk Agentrisk

480ms580 tok▾

Prompt

[system]
You are Risk Agent. Be concrete. JSON only.

[user]
Thesis context: {
  "market-scout": {
    "marketBrief": "Risk-on tape with mega-cap tech leading. VIX compressed at 13.4. AAPL holding above its 20-day on building volume; NVDA consolidating in a tight range below the 50-day.",
    "symbols": [
      {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "sentiment": "bullish",
        "catalysts": [
          "Earnings in 18 days",
          "Services growth re-rating"
        ],
        "notableLevel": "Resistance 218.40 / Support 209.10 (20-DMA)"
      },
      {
        "symbol": "NVDA",
        "sentiment": "neutral",
        "catalysts": [
          "GTC follow-through narrative",
          "Mixed sell-side estimate revisions"
        ],
        "notableLevel": "Coiled between 50- and 100-DMA"
      }
    ]
  },
  "news": {
    "highlights": [
      {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "headline": "Sell-side raises FY estimates after services strength signals from supplier checks",
        "impact": "Mildly bullish — supports continuation if tape holds."
      },
      {
        "symbol": "NVDA",
        "headline": "Hyperscaler capex outlook reaffirmed at conference",
        "impact": "Neutral-to-bullish — already in price."
      }
    ]
  },
  "strategy": {
    "thesis": "Long AAPL on a pullback to the 20-day MA (~209) into the earnings drift window. Stop under the prior swing low at 206.50. Invalidation: a daily close below the 50-day on rising volume."
  },
  "risk": {
    "risks": [
      "Macro reversal on a hot CPI print compresses multiples.",
      "Single-stock event risk — guidance miss within 2 weeks.",
      "Liquidity gap on overnight headlines invalidates the stop.",
      "Correlation spike pulls position with the broader tape."
    ],
    "riskScore": 0.42
  },
  "backtest": {
    "backtestSummary": {
      "period": "2024-2026",
      "winRate": 0.55,
      "avgReturn": 0.031,
      "maxDrawdown": -0.078,
      "notes": "Computed from price_series_lookup (60 bars, synthetic-demo source). Simulation only."
    }
  },
  "paper-execution": {
    "simulatedTrade": {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "side": "BUY",
      "entryPrice": 209.4,
      "stopLoss": 202.07,
      "targetPrice": 221.96,
      "sizingHint": "Risk 0.5R of book; max 2% portfolio exposure."
    },
    "confidence": 0.62
  }
}

Return JSON: { "risks": ["..."], "riskScore": 0..1 } — at least 3 risks.

Parsed output

{
  "risks": [
    "Macro reversal on a hot CPI print compresses multiples.",
    "Single-stock event risk — guidance miss within 2 weeks.",
    "Liquidity gap on overnight headlines invalidates the stop.",
    "Correlation spike pulls position with the broader tape."
  ],
  "riskScore": 0.42
}

Backtest Agentbacktest

980ms700 tok▾

Prompt

[system]
You are Backtest Agent. Use seeded synthetic data via price_series_lookup; never claim real historical accuracy. JSON only.

[user]
Thesis context: {
  "market-scout": {
    "marketBrief": "Risk-on tape with mega-cap tech leading. VIX compressed at 13.4. AAPL holding above its 20-day on building volume; NVDA consolidating in a tight range below the 50-day.",
    "symbols": [
      {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "sentiment": "bullish",
        "catalysts": [
          "Earnings in 18 days",
          "Services growth re-rating"
        ],
        "notableLevel": "Resistance 218.40 / Support 209.10 (20-DMA)"
      },
      {
        "symbol": "NVDA",
        "sentiment": "neutral",
        "catalysts": [
          "GTC follow-through narrative",
          "Mixed sell-side estimate revisions"
        ],
        "notableLevel": "Coiled between 50- and 100-DMA"
      }
    ]
  },
  "news": {
    "highlights": [
      {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "headline": "Sell-side raises FY estimates after services strength signals from supplier checks",
        "impact": "Mildly bullish — supports continuation if tape holds."
      },
      {
        "symbol": "NVDA",
        "headline": "Hyperscaler capex outlook reaffirmed at conference",
        "impact": "Neutral-to-bullish — already in price."
      }
    ]
  },
  "strategy": {
    "thesis": "Long AAPL on a pullback to the 20-day MA (~209) into the earnings drift window. Stop under the prior swing low at 206.50. Invalidation: a daily close below the 50-day on rising volume."
  },
  "risk": {
    "risks": [
      "Macro reversal on a hot CPI print compresses multiples.",
      "Single-stock event risk — guidance miss within 2 weeks.",
      "Liquidity gap on overnight headlines invalidates the stop.",
      "Correlation spike pulls position with the broader tape."
    ],
    "riskScore": 0.42
  },
  "backtest": {
    "backtestSummary": {
      "period": "2024-2026",
      "winRate": 0.55,
      "avgReturn": 0.031,
      "maxDrawdown": -0.078,
      "notes": "Computed from price_series_lookup (60 bars, synthetic-demo source). Simulation only."
    }
  },
  "paper-execution": {
    "simulatedTrade": {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "side": "BUY",
      "entryPrice": 209.4,
      "stopLoss": 202.07,
      "targetPrice": 221.96,
      "sizingHint": "Risk 0.5R of book; max 2% portfolio exposure."
    },
    "confidence": 0.62
  }
}

If you need historical price data, call price_series_lookup for the symbol(s) named in the thesis. Otherwise return JSON: { "backtestSummary": { "period": "YYYY-YYYY", "winRate": 0..1, "avgReturn": float, "maxDrawdown": float, "notes": "..." } }

Parsed output

{
  "backtestSummary": {
    "period": "2024-2026",
    "winRate": 0.55,
    "avgReturn": 0.031,
    "maxDrawdown": -0.078,
    "notes": "Computed from price_series_lookup (60 bars, synthetic-demo source). Simulation only."
  }
}

Paper Execution Agentpaper-execution

410ms740 tok▾

Prompt

[system]
You are Paper Execution Agent. Output a SIMULATED trade only. Never imply broker execution. JSON only.

[user]
Full context: {
  "market-scout": {
    "marketBrief": "Risk-on tape with mega-cap tech leading. VIX compressed at 13.4. AAPL holding above its 20-day on building volume; NVDA consolidating in a tight range below the 50-day.",
    "symbols": [
      {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "sentiment": "bullish",
        "catalysts": [
          "Earnings in 18 days",
          "Services growth re-rating"
        ],
        "notableLevel": "Resistance 218.40 / Support 209.10 (20-DMA)"
      },
      {
        "symbol": "NVDA",
        "sentiment": "neutral",
        "catalysts": [
          "GTC follow-through narrative",
          "Mixed sell-side estimate revisions"
        ],
        "notableLevel": "Coiled between 50- and 100-DMA"
      }
    ]
  },
  "news": {
    "highlights": [
      {
        "symbol": "AAPL",
        "headline": "Sell-side raises FY estimates after services strength signals from supplier checks",
        "impact": "Mildly bullish — supports continuation if tape holds."
      },
      {
        "symbol": "NVDA",
        "headline": "Hyperscaler capex outlook reaffirmed at conference",
        "impact": "Neutral-to-bullish — already in price."
      }
    ]
  },
  "strategy": {
    "thesis": "Long AAPL on a pullback to the 20-day MA (~209) into the earnings drift window. Stop under the prior swing low at 206.50. Invalidation: a daily close below the 50-day on rising volume."
  },
  "risk": {
    "risks": [
      "Macro reversal on a hot CPI print compresses multiples.",
      "Single-stock event risk — guidance miss within 2 weeks.",
      "Liquidity gap on overnight headlines invalidates the stop.",
      "Correlation spike pulls position with the broader tape."
    ],
    "riskScore": 0.42
  },
  "backtest": {
    "backtestSummary": {
      "period": "2024-2026",
      "winRate": 0.55,
      "avgReturn": 0.031,
      "maxDrawdown": -0.078,
      "notes": "Computed from price_series_lookup (60 bars, synthetic-demo source). Simulation only."
    }
  },
  "paper-execution": {
    "simulatedTrade": {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "side": "BUY",
      "entryPrice": 209.4,
      "stopLoss": 202.07,
      "targetPrice": 221.96,
      "sizingHint": "Risk 0.5R of book; max 2% portfolio exposure."
    },
    "confidence": 0.62
  }
}

Return JSON: { "simulatedTrade": { "symbol": "...", "side": "BUY|SELL|HOLD", "entryPrice": number, "stopLoss": number, "targetPrice": number, "sizingHint": "..." }, "confidence": 0..1 }

Parsed output

{
  "simulatedTrade": {
    "symbol": "AAPL",
    "side": "BUY",
    "entryPrice": 209.4,
    "stopLoss": 202.07,
    "targetPrice": 221.96,
    "sizingHint": "Risk 0.5R of book; max 2% portfolio exposure."
  },
  "confidence": 0.62
}

Tool calls

Intelligence applied

Memories injected

CREW· local· pinned crew
[demo] Always state simulation only on paper trades
GLOBAL· hermes· pinned global
[demo] Operator timezone: Europe/London (UK)

Skills applied

paper-risk-checklist· paper-tradingapplied
Paper-trade risk checklist
tool-safety-checklist· globalapplied
Tool-safety checklist

Pending decisions

Review these before the mission can be closed out.

Open inbox →

Deliverables

TRADE_JOURNALPaper trade: AAPL BUY

Simulation only — no real broker, no real money.

Market brief

Risk-on tape with mega-cap tech leading. VIX compressed at 13.4. AAPL holding above its 20-day on building volume; NVDA consolidating in a tight range below the 50-day.

Thesis

Long AAPL on a pullback to the 20-day MA (~209) into the earnings drift window. Stop under the prior swing low at 206.50. Invalidation: a daily close below the 50-day on rising volume.

AAPL · BUY

Entry

209.40

Stop

202.07

Target

221.96

Risk 0.5R of book; max 2% portfolio exposure.

conf 0.62risk 0.42

Backtest (synthetic)

Period: 2024-2026
Win rate: 55.0%
Avg return: 3.10%
Max drawdown: -7.80%

Computed from price_series_lookup (60 bars, synthetic-demo source). Simulation only.

Risks

Macro reversal on a hot CPI print compresses multiples.
Single-stock event risk — guidance miss within 2 weeks.
Liquidity gap on overnight headlines invalidates the stop.
Correlation spike pulls position with the broader tape.

Suggested learnings

Deterministic post-mission suggestions. Save the ones that match how you want future runs to behave — nothing is auto-saved.

CREWAGENTwins · pattern

What worked · Paper Trading

Mission "AAPL & NVDA — weekly paper trade thesis" completed cleanly with all agents executing in sequence. Reuse this objective shape for similar requests.

Memory changes from this mission

Suggestions created

pendingCREW
[demo] User prefers max paper-trade risk below 1.5%

Memories used

CREW· local
[demo] Always state simulation only on paper trades
pinned crew
GLOBAL· hermes
[demo] Operator timezone: Europe/London (UK)
pinned global

Memory writes

None

Workflow receipt

RX-260430-002FINALrisk · MEDIUMgenerated 4h ago

6 agent steps · 1 tool calls · 1 approvals (0 rejected) · 2 memories used · 1 deliverables · risk medium

f0a311854b98c93f2911d3f8e085201aa2329d87bd004297c5a8e59d8917e005

View receipt →

Audit log

Apr 30, 09:58 PM

system

mission.started

Mission started: AAPL & NVDA — weekly paper trade thesis

Apr 30, 09:58 PM

market-scout

agent.started

market-scout started

Apr 30, 09:58 PM

market-scout

agent.completed

market-scout completed

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

news

agent.started

news started

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

news

agent.completed

news completed

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

strategy

agent.started

strategy started

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

strategy

agent.completed

strategy completed

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

risk

agent.started

risk started

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

risk

agent.completed

risk completed

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

backtest

agent.started

backtest started

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

backtest

agent.completed

backtest completed

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

paper-execution

agent.started

paper-execution started

Apr 30, 09:59 PM

paper-execution

agent.completed

paper-execution completed

Apr 30, 10:01 PM

system

mission.waiting_approval

Mission complete — items awaiting approval.

Apr 30, 10:16 PM

memory

memory.selected

Selected 2 memory items for this mission.

Apr 30, 10:16 PM

memory

memory.injected

Injected 2 memory items into mission context.

1 approval pending on this mission.

Review now